Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.443742 9.436052 10.558767 11.936227 13.599143 15.566368 18.107583
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.794275 8.029953 9.555889 11.626332 14.442310 18.270193 24.127361
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.953721 7.289003 9.033871 11.569484 15.329535 21.027094 31.114065
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.365103 6.740336 8.614899 11.487791 16.057933 23.663265 39.105917
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.043843 6.489511 8.539516 11.847047 17.494483 27.880643 52.623885
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.585249 5.985837 8.020976 11.413239 17.480489 29.434319 61.531247
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.195261 5.539742 7.531566 10.940197 17.275708 30.519805 70.221023
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.904348 5.211977 7.185480 10.650376 17.341608 32.209548 82.534782
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.704619 5.002758 7.001181 10.608835 17.878613 35.212355 103.523811
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.688142 5.069409 7.262115 11.398685 20.334727 44.402616 172.433287
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.610631 5.032096 7.344141 11.864368 22.217833 53.334726 282.233801
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.459174 4.864014 7.185195 11.831113 22.902466 58.888961 407.841897
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.302548 4.690838 7.026235 11.829759 23.829283 66.854057 704.016688
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.111078 4.450034 6.730978 11.514295 23.880527 71.678392 1140.723526
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.974597 4.290995 6.567997 11.458019 24.656783 80.991332 2755.403387
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.848441 4.140258 6.405647 11.377486 25.348564 91.128254 11365.288451
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.785833 4.093437 6.432388 11.731583 27.555423 114.942458 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.639483 3.891636 6.145460 11.303995 27.017285 118.754528 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.500202 3.695255 5.855946 10.837607 26.232810 119.921970 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.390923 3.546473 5.649641 10.551795 26.034300 126.527252 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.315456 3.453787 5.547158 10.510824 26.742241 144.151197 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.325741 3.514712 5.755063 11.289647 31.016426 224.012200 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.302197 3.512405 5.833955 11.748653 34.306757 326.534405 NaN